Ypiranga-RSvs
Ituano
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 5/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ypiranga-RS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ituano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ypiranga-RS hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60