GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 5/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ypiranga-RS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ituano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ypiranga-RS hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ypiranga-RSLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ItuanoWDLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ypiranga-RSItuano
45.8Attack37.5
58.3Defence64.6
50.0Form45.8
52.6Power50.6
1.05xG0.85
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