Ypiranga-RSvs
Figueirense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 4/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ypiranga-RS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Figueirense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ypiranga-RS hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60