Serie CSerie C
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 10:12
Ypiranga-RS

Ypiranga-RS

Home
W
11
Full time
Confiança

Confiança

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Ypiranga-RS(37%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Ypiranga-RS
37%
Draw
32%
Confiança
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ypiranga-RS
34
Confiança
34
Defence
Ypiranga-RS
91
Confiança
66
Momentum
Ypiranga-RS
100
Confiança
33
Danger (xG)
Ypiranga-RS
0.90
Confiança
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Ypiranga-RS)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Confiança)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ypiranga-RS)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Confiança)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS
WDD
ConfiançaConfiança
DL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Ypiranga-RS37%
Draw32%
Confiança31%

Ypiranga-RS leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ypiranga-RS head into this in Serie C fixture in mixed form (W), while Confiança arrive in mixed form (D). Ypiranga-RS have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Confiança over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Ypiranga-RS (91/100) and Confiança (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Ypiranga-RS have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home. Confiança have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Ypiranga-RS to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Ypiranga-RS 3690%, Draw 3220%, Confiança 3090%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Ypiranga-RS 0Draws 10 Confiança
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
29 Jun 2026
Ypiranga-RS
D11
Confiança

Recent form

Ypiranga-RS

Ypiranga-RS

W
vs Paysandu
5 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Confiança
29 Jun 2026
11
D
vs Maringá
16 May 2026
11
Confiança

Confiança

D
@ Ypiranga-RS
29 Jun 2026
11
L
vs Gremio
14 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ypiranga-RS vs Confiança?

GoalVio's model predicts Ypiranga-RS to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ypiranga-RS vs Confiança?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Ypiranga-RS vs Confiança?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ypiranga-RS vs Confiança?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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