GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 3/1/2025, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Young Boys W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Young Boys W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Thun W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Young Boys W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Young Boys W

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Young Boys W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Young Boys WWWLDD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Thun WLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 17 · avg 0.20/3.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Young Boys WThun W
0.0Attack47.2
33.3Defence15.3
0.0Form34.7
15.3Power33.1
2.65xG1.53
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