GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 3/2/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Young Boys W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Young Boys W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Thun W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Young Boys W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Young Boys W

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Young Boys W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Young Boys WWWWDL

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Thun WLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Young Boys WThun W
0.0Attack47.2
33.3Defence15.3
0.0Form34.7
15.3Power33.1
2.65xG1.53
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