Young Apostlesvs
Aduana Stars
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aduana Stars · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Young Apostles 0-1 Aduana Stars, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Young Apostles 1-0 Aduana Stars
Original prediction
Aduana Stars
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.8% | 27.0% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.6% | 29.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.6% | 43.6% | 18.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.0 pts
Projected Score
Young Apostles 0–1 Aduana Stars
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Aduana Stars
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Aduana Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60