Young Africansvs
Geita Gold
COMPLETEDTanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · 9/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Young Africans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Young Africans 1-0 Geita Gold
Original prediction
Young Africans
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.05 | 86.6% | 63.8% | -22.8 pts |
| Draw | 8.93 | 10.2% | 20.2% | 10.0 pts |
| Away | 28.57 | 3.2% | 16.0% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Young Africans
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
63.8%
Young Africans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40