Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:05
York

York

Home
L
15
Full time
Sunderland

Sunderland

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Sunderland33%
York33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
York
33%
Draw
33%
Sunderland
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
York
73
Sunderland
94
Defence
York
1
Sunderland
66
Momentum
York
0
Sunderland
100
Danger (xG)
York
1.80
Sunderland
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (York)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Sunderland)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (York)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Sunderland)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
YorkYork
L
SunderlandSunderland
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
York33%
Draw33%
Sunderland33%

Sunderland leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

York head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Sunderland arrive in mixed form (W). York have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Sunderland over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — York (73/100) and Sunderland (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

York have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Sunderland have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between York and Sunderland in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects York to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: York 3333%, Draw 3333%, Sunderland 3334%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

York

York

L
@ Pickering Town
14 Jul 2026
24
Sunderland

Sunderland

W
@ Everton
17 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win York vs Sunderland?

GoalVio's model predicts York to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for York vs Sunderland?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in York vs Sunderland?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in York vs Sunderland?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more