GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

York · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

York are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kidderminster Harriers are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and York hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the National League, while York holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

York

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

York has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

YorkLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kidderminster HarriersDDDWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
YorkKidderminster Harriers
39.9Attack29.0
50.0Defence57.2
38.4Form33.3
44.7Power42.4
1.12xG0.80
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