York Unitedvs
Vancouver FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
York United 3-1 Vancouver FC
Original prediction
Vancouver FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.7% | 26.0% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 22.1% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 38.9% | 52.0% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Vancouver FC
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80