York Unitedvs
Supra du Quebec
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
York United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
York United 1-2 Supra du Quebec
Original prediction
York United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 30.7% | 38.5% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 23.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.4% | 37.5% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
York United
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
York United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80