York Unitedvs
Pacific FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
York United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
York United 3-4 Pacific FC
Original prediction
York United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.5% | 51.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 20.8% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.2% | 27.7% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
York United
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
York United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60