York Unitedvs
Pacific FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/9/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
York United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
York United 3-3 Pacific FC
Original prediction
York United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.3% | 46.4% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.0% | 22.1% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.7% | 31.5% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
York United
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
York United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40