York Unitedvs
Cavalry FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cavalry FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (11%), 0-2 (10%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
York United 3-1 Cavalry FC
Original prediction
Cavalry FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.52 | 20.2% | 15.8% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.1% | 18.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 57.6% | 65.4% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–311%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Cavalry FC
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
65.4%
Cavalry FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 15 · avg 2.60/3.00
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00