York Unitedvs
Atlético Ottawa
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
York United 2-1 Atlético Ottawa
Original prediction
Atlético Ottawa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.6% | 30.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.9% | 26.3% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.5% | 42.7% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Ottawa
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20