GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 4/26/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

York 9 FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

66.1%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

York 9 FCLLLWW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver FCLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
York 9 FCVancouver FC
38.1Attack51.0
26.2Defence66.7
33.3Form52.9
35.0Power57.2
0.77xG2.19
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