Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valour · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
York 9 FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Valour are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Valour hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Canadian Premier League, while Valour holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valour
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Valour has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40