GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 8/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HFX Wanderers FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

York 9 FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HFX Wanderers FC hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Canadian Premier League, while HFX Wanderers FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HFX Wanderers FC

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

12.4%

HFX Wanderers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

York 9 FCDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HFX Wanderers FCLDLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
York 9 FCHFX Wanderers FC
38.1Attack41.2
26.2Defence49.0
33.3Form33.3
35.0Power43.3
1.23xG1.70
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