GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HFX Wanderers FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

York 9 FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HFX Wanderers FC hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Canadian Premier League, while HFX Wanderers FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HFX Wanderers FC

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

12.4%

HFX Wanderers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

York 9 FCWLDLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HFX Wanderers FCWDDLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
York 9 FCHFX Wanderers FC
38.1Attack41.2
26.2Defence49.0
33.3Form33.3
35.0Power43.3
1.23xG1.70
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