GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 4/13/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HFX Wanderers FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

York 9 FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HFX Wanderers FC hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Canadian Premier League, while HFX Wanderers FC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HFX Wanderers FC

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

HFX Wanderers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

York 9 FCWDWLL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HFX Wanderers FCDWLDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
York 9 FCHFX Wanderers FC
38.1Attack41.2
26.2Defence49.0
33.3Form33.3
35.0Power43.3
1.23xG1.70
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