Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
York 9 FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Forge are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.9% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
72.9%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80