Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
York 9 FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Forge are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.9% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
72.9%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60