Yongin Cityvs
Gyeongnam FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/20/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yongin City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yongin City 0-0 Gyeongnam FC
Original prediction
Yongin City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.9% | 36.9% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.5% | 26.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.6% | 36.2% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Yongin City
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Yongin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60