GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/26/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yokohama FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yokohama FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Vissel Kobe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Yokohama FC hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (41.2 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the J-League Cup, while Yokohama FC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yokohama FC

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Yokohama FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yokohama FCLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Vissel KobeWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Yokohama FCVissel Kobe
38.9Attack22.2
44.4Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
41.2Power33.1
1.69xG1.03
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