Yokohama F. Marinosvs
Tokyo Verdy
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yokohama F. Marinos · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 Tokyo Verdy, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 Tokyo Verdy
Original prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 52.3% | 69.3% | 17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 27.1% | 20.6% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 20.6% | 10.1% | -10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.0 pts
Projected Score
Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 Tokyo Verdy
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Yokohama F. Marinos
Probability
69.3%
Model confidence
69.3%
Yokohama F. Marinos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20