Yokohama F. Marinosvs
Mito Hollyhock
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/19/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yokohama F. Marinos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Mito Hollyhock
Original prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 46.1% | 43.5% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.6% | 25.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 27.2% | 30.9% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Yokohama F. Marinos
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Yokohama F. Marinos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00