Yokohama F. Marinosvs
Kyoto Sanga
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 9/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yokohama F. Marinos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Original prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 43.1% | 45.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.6% | 25.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 29.3% | 29.1% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Yokohama F. Marinos
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Yokohama F. Marinos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60