GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Yokohama F. Marinos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

12.1%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yokohama F. MarinosDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Kashiwa ReysolWLLLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Yokohama F. MarinosKashiwa Reysol
66.7Attack83.3
33.3Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power86.5
1.34xG1.70
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