Yokohama F. Marinosvs
Kashiwa Reysol
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Yokohama F. Marinos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashiwa Reysol
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
12.1%
Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20