Yokohama F. Marinosvs
Kashima
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Yokohama F. Marinos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kashima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60