GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/19/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Incheon United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yokohama F. Marinos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Incheon United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 67.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the AFC Champions League Elite, while Incheon United holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Incheon United

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yokohama F. MarinosDWLLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Incheon UnitedWLWWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Yokohama F. MarinosIncheon United
57.1Attack81.0
54.8Defence52.4
66.7Form71.4
61.0Power67.8
1.76xG1.82
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