Yokohama F. Marinosvs
Incheon United
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/19/2023, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Incheon United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Yokohama F. Marinos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Incheon United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 67.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the AFC Champions League Elite, while Incheon United holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Incheon United
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40