Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ylivieska · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ylivieska are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while JBK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and JBK hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Suomen Cup, while Ylivieska holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ylivieska
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
9.0%
Ylivieska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40