Yichun Grand Tigervs
Rizhao Yuqi
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Yichun Grand Tiger 0-0 Rizhao Yuqi, with an exact score probability of 40%.
Prediction record
Final result
Yichun Grand Tiger 0-0 Rizhao Yuqi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.2% | 31.8% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 31.9% | 35.6% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 28.9% | 32.6% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.82 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Yichun Grand Tiger 0–0 Rizhao Yuqi
Exact score probability: 40%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Yichun Grand TigerLLDLW
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rizhao YuqiDLLWW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yichun Grand TigerRizhao Yuqi
22.2Attack22.2
60.5Defence74.1
32.1Form40.7
40.8Power48.3
0.39xG0.54