Yichun Grand Tigervs
Qingdao Youth Island
COMPLETEDChina · FA Cup · 5/30/2023, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yichun Grand Tiger · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Yichun Grand Tiger are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Qingdao Youth Island are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Qingdao Youth Island hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the FA Cup, while Yichun Grand Tiger holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yichun Grand Tiger
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Yichun Grand Tiger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40