GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/30/2023, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yichun Grand Tiger · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Yichun Grand Tiger are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Qingdao Youth Island are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Qingdao Youth Island hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the FA Cup, while Yichun Grand Tiger holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yichun Grand Tiger

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Yichun Grand Tiger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yichun Grand TigerLWWWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Qingdao Youth IslandDWWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Yichun Grand TigerQingdao Youth Island
0.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence50.0
0.0Form16.7
15.3Power31.3
1.37xG1.25
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