GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 5/7/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Yichun Grand Tiger are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Hainan Star are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Hainan Star hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yichun Grand TigerW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Hainan StarL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Yichun Grand TigerHainan Star
20.0Attack31.8
63.3Defence59.1
30.0Form37.9
40.5Power44.9
0.63xG0.65
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