GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 3/22/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Yichun Grand Tiger are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chengdu Rongcheng II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Rongcheng II hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.2% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

31.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yichun Grand TigerDWLWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Chengdu Rongcheng IIWLDDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Yichun Grand TigerChengdu Rongcheng II
20.0Attack30.0
63.3Defence61.7
30.0Form35.0
40.5Power43.8
0.59xG0.61
View match centre →