Yichun Grand Tigervs
Changchun Xidu
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Yichun Grand Tiger 0-0 Changchun Xidu, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Yichun Grand Tiger 1-2 Changchun Xidu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.4% | 36.3% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.74 | 32.9% | 35.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.8% | 28.6% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Yichun Grand Tiger 0–0 Changchun Xidu
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Yichun Grand TigerDLWWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Changchun XiduDDWWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Yichun Grand TigerChangchun Xidu
22.7Attack24.0
65.3Defence60.0
34.7Form33.3
43.4Power41.8
0.63xG0.46