GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lugano II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

YF Juventus are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lugano II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano II hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lugano II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lugano II

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

11.4%

Lugano II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

YF JuventusLDWLD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lugano IIDWLDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
YF JuventusLugano II
44.4Attack41.7
0.0Defence75.0
44.4Form41.7
31.8Power52.8
1.40xG1.81
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