Yeovil Townvs
Worthing
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeovil Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yeovil Town 1-1 Worthing
Original prediction
Yeovil Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.9% | 45.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.1% | 23.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 32.0% | 31.2% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Yeovil Town
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Yeovil Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20