Yeovil Townvs
Solihull Moors
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/18/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeovil Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yeovil Town 4-1 Solihull Moors
Original prediction
Yeovil Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.1% | 65.0% | 19.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 18.3% | -7.9 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.7% | 16.7% | -12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–09%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Yeovil Town
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
Yeovil Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80