Yeovil Townvs
Boston United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeovil Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yeovil Town 6-0 Boston United
Original prediction
Yeovil Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.8% | 51.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.1% | 24.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 23.1% | 24.1% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Yeovil Town
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Yeovil Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40