Yeovil Townvs
Altrincham
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeovil Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yeovil Town 1-2 Altrincham
Original prediction
Yeovil Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.0% | 61.9% | 15.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.0% | 19.4% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 28.0% | 18.7% | -9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Yeovil Town
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
Yeovil Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 6 · avg 4.20/1.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20