Yeovil Townvs
AFC Fylde
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeovil Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yeovil Town 1-4 AFC Fylde
Original prediction
Yeovil Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.2% | 41.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.8% | 24.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 36.1% | 34.1% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Yeovil Town
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Yeovil Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40