Yeoju Sejongvs
Jeonbuk Motors II
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 10/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeoju Sejong · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yeoju Sejong 2-1 Jeonbuk Motors II
Original prediction
Yeoju Sejong
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.4% | 61.9% | 9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.3% | 22.0% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.2% | 16.1% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Yeoju Sejong
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
Yeoju Sejong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80