GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dangjin Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Yeoju Sejong are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dangjin Citizen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dangjin Citizen hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the K3 League, while Dangjin Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dangjin Citizen

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

12.9%

Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yeoju SejongDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Dangjin CitizenWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Yeoju SejongDangjin Citizen
28.9Attack61.4
53.3Defence52.6
38.9Form49.1
43.1Power54.6
0.85xG1.61
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