Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yenisey W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Yenisey W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Rostov W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rostov W hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (17.2 v 21.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Supreme Division Women, while Yenisey W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yenisey W
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
14.6%
Yenisey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20
GF 0 · GA 11 · avg 0.00/2.20