Yeni Ordusporvs
1461 Trabzon FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/28/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeni Orduspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yeni Orduspor 0-2 1461 Trabzon FK
Original prediction
Yeni Orduspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 01:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.3% | 41.7% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.2% | 26.8% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.4% | 31.5% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Yeni Orduspor
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Yeni Orduspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40