Yeni Mersin Idmanyurduvs
Osmaniyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 3. Lig - Group 3 · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0-1 Osmaniyespor
Original prediction
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.4% | 44.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.4% | 25.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.2% | 30.9% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80