Yelimay Semeyvs
Zhetysu
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yelimay Semey 2-1 Zhetysu
Original prediction
Yelimay Semey
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.0% | 53.8% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.3% | 24.7% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.38 | 16.8% | 21.4% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Yelimay Semey
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40