Yelimay Semeyvs
Ulytau
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Yelimay Semey 1-0 Ulytau, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Yelimay Semey 2-1 Ulytau
Original prediction
Yelimay Semey
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.1% | 49.5% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 27.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 4.41 | 20.6% | 23.6% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Projected Score
Yelimay Semey 1–0 Ulytau
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Yelimay Semey
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Yelimay SemeyWLWWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UlytauWDLLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Yelimay SemeyUlytau
46.9Attack32.1
54.3Defence60.5
50.6Form43.2
52.5Power47.5
1.21xG0.79