GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Cup · 3/25/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Yelimay Semey are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Taraz are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (57.7 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Cup, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Yelimay SemeyWL

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
TarazDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Yelimay SemeyTaraz
50.0Attack22.2
75.0Defence44.4
50.0Form11.1
57.7Power29.5
1.71xG0.81
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